Dr. Avi Perry

Dr. Avi Perry

Columnist

Dr. Avi Perry is a former professor at Northwestern University and a former researcher and executive at Bell Labs. He served as Vice President at NMS Communications and represented the United States on the UN International Telecommunication Union (ITU) Standards Committee.

News by Dr. Avi Perry

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Iran understands America better than America understands Iran

Iran is not irrational within its own framework. The framework itself is fundamentally different from the assumptions guiding much of Western strategic thinking. And that is a grave danger. Opinion.

Iran understands America better than America understands Iran

When gas prices today matter more than nuclear risk tomorrow

Strategic threats do not announce that they will eventually become irreversible. But by the time nuclear capability is fully realized, prevention is no longer an option. It must be dealt with now, even if gas priices go up for a while. Opinion.

When gas prices today matter more than nuclear risk tomorrow

The Illusion of Collapse:

Time, expectations, and the limits of a blockade

A naval blockade can create leverage against Iran, but only over time, while unrealistic expectations risk undermining the strategy itself. Analysis.

Time, expectations, and the limits of a blockade

The fantasy of a ceasefire while Iran arms for war

If Israel stops-does Iran stop? Opinion.

The fantasy of a ceasefire while Iran arms for war

The new face of disguised Jew-hatred

The most dangerous form of antisemitism is not the one that declares itself openly. It is the one that hides inside arguments that sound reasonable. Opinion.

The new face of disguised Jew-hatred

Who Is Iran?

Who Is Iran? The Fatal Flaw behind Trump’s “negotiations"

There may no longer be a single, coherent entity that can be called “Iran" in the context of negotiations. Opinion.

Who Is Iran? The Fatal Flaw behind Trump’s “negotiations"

“No Imminent Threat" Is the most dangerous phrase in US politics

Preventing catastrophe rarely looks reasonable in the present. It looks premature. It looks aggressive. It looks unpopular. Until the catastrophe arrives. Opinion.

“No Imminent Threat" Is the most dangerous phrase in US politics

What happens in Hormuz will not stay in Hormuz

The Strait of Hormuz Is choking, And Europe Is looking away. Opinion.

What happens in Hormuz will not stay in Hormuz

When Party comes before Country in wartime

A basic principle that has been eroded in the USA: you do not cheer for your country’s failure simply because you dislike the president leading it. Opinion.

When Party comes before Country in wartime

The Enemy From Within:

When preventing catastrophe becomes controversial

The catastrophes we prevent are invisible. The catastrophes we fail to prevent define history. Opinion.

When preventing catastrophe becomes controversial

Negotiating the Wrong Variable:

Why Iran’s missiles matter more than Its enrichment level

Deterrence rests not merely on possession, but on credible delivery. And modern missile defense systems, while advanced, are not impermeable. Opiniion.

Why Iran’s missiles matter more than Its enrichment level

Half-war is the most dangerous war:

Why a limited strike on Iran could be the worst possible choice

Germany and Japan did not surrender because they were warned or nudged toward moderation. They surrendered when they were strategically broken.Opinion.

Why a limited strike on Iran could be the worst possible choice

Iran’s nuclear problem is really a succession problem

The Iran debate has been framed as a choice between a deal and a military attack. That is the wrong choice. Opinon.

Iran’s nuclear problem is really a succession problem

Trump's strategic mistake in his otherwise strong presidency

Trump seems to assume Muslim leaders behave like rational cost-benefit actors. That assumption is his central mistake. He seems to have made that mistake with Iran and al-Jolani, tragically sacrificing the Iranian protestors and the Kurds. Opinion.

Trump's strategic mistake in his otherwise strong presidency

NATO under strain

How History, Geography, Energy, and the Middle East deepen internal divisions, and why disunity endangers liberal democracy. Opinion.

NATO under strain

Analysis:

Greenland, NATO, Trump, and the return of great-power geography

Greenland’s importance to the US is not symbolic or speculative. It is structural. From a U.S. strategic perspective, Greenland is not a luxury. It is a keystone. Analysis.

Greenland, NATO, Trump, and the return of great-power geography

To President Trump:

Why a limited strike on Iran Is the wrong tool and what must replace it

Regime change must be the objective. Military success without political dismantling produces cycles, not solutions.Opinion.

Why a limited strike on Iran Is the wrong tool and what must replace it

Emergency Press Conference

The Board of Piece (No. this is not a spelling error), Emergency Press Conference

Summary" Thanks to the international community, social media, and mainstream media for ensuring that truth remains absent, responsibility remains optional, and the elephant (aka Hamas rearmament) remains unseen. For the undiluted protocol, read below.

The Board of Piece (No. this is not a spelling error), Emergency Press Conference

Gaza’s Phase II Illusion:

Gaza’s Phase II Illusion: Why it will never work

Enforcement, the single factor that determines whether Phase II exists at all, is treated as an afterthought, but naming Phase II without defining its mechanics is not leadership. And it will lead to war. Opinion.

Gaza’s Phase II Illusion: Why it will never work

When Israeli voices become Hamas’s sharpest weapons

Israelis know that externalizing internal dissent during war creates a strategic threat to the state. That lesson seems to be forgotten by those who should know it best. Ehud Olmert is the prime example. Opinion.

When Israeli voices become Hamas’s sharpest weapons

Was Trump's restraint the proper strategy with Mamdani?

Trump’s silence was strategic. He did not challenge Mamdani because he understands that if Mamdani is going to collapse under the weight of his own ideology, he must have no one else to blame. Opinion.

Was Trump's restraint the proper strategy with Mamdani?

Dr. Avi Perry:

The downgraded F-35 going to the Saudis is still a threat to Israel

Israel is right to be wary of the Saudi F-35 deal for many reasons - read them below. Opinion.

The downgraded F-35 going to the Saudis is still a  threat to Israel

Oslo 2.0:

Oslo 2.0: The new Gaza “Peace Plan” risks repeating a historic disaster

Oslo did not fail because of bad intentions. It failed because it misunderstood the nature of the leadership it empowered. The new Gaza plan is on track to make the same mistake. Hamas must be eliminated. Opinion.

Oslo 2.0:  The new Gaza “Peace Plan” risks repeating a historic disaster

Mamdani’s Victory:

Mamdani’s Victory: A boomerang waiting to strike the Democrats

The economic and political history of the twentieth century is a graveyard of movements that promised justice through equality and delivered only scarcity through control.

Mamdani’s Victory: A boomerang waiting to strike the Democrats

Iran’s strategic obsession-and how to stop Its comeback

Israel and its allies can ensure that Iran’s ambitions remain just that: ambitions. Opinion.

Iran’s strategic obsession-and how to stop Its comeback

Trump’s Gamble in Gaza:

Betting on a dream that reality will break

Trump is not dreaming in the literal sense. He is betting. The difference is subtle but important. A dream is detached from reality; a bet at least acknowledges the odds. But this bet is so long that one could easily mistake it for a fantasy. Opinion.

Betting on a dream that reality will break

The Language War:

The Language War: How Hamas and Iran’s proxies deceive the West

This linguistic warfare is part of a coordinated psychological and political campaign to delegitimize Israel, erode its moral standing, and recast its self-defense as aggression. Opinion.

The Language War: How Hamas and Iran’s proxies deceive the West

False flags, blood libels, and the October 7 attack

October 7 was not a false flag. It was a tragedy born of bias, blindness, and bureaucratic failure. Opinion.

False flags, blood libels, and the October 7 attack

Illusions of peace:

Illusions of peace: Strategic ambiguity in the new agreement

It is a milestone, but not necessarily a breakthrough. It hides more than it reveals, but no matter what, Israel must treat the agreement as a phase, not an end. Opinion.

Illusions of peace: Strategic ambiguity in the new agreement

Hamas’s response to Trump:

Hamas’s response to Trump: A clear “No” disguised as “Yes… but”

Hamas intends to stay, and Hamas intends to fight. Israel’s bottom line is crystal clear. Trump' good name is on the line if he ignores Israel's demands and falls into Hamas's trap. Opinion.

Hamas’s response to Trump: A clear “No” disguised as “Yes… but”

When fear meets envy:

When fear meets envy: Islamophobia vs. Antisemitism unmasked

The Muslim world can choose to emulate the Jewish path—investing in education, in inquiry, in building—or continue on the path of destruction. Opinion.

When fear meets envy: Islamophobia vs. Antisemitism unmasked

Sisi calls Israel an enemy:

Sisi calls Israel an enemy: rhetoric, reality, and risk to regional stability

Al-Sisi’s words are not a declaration of war, but they are a warning. Opinion.

Sisi calls Israel an enemy: rhetoric, reality, and risk to regional stability

Europe’s favorite fantasy:

Europe’s favorite fantasy: Building a Palestinian State (from IKEA parts)

Europe clings to this dream, although it makes no sense. Their hypocrisy is obvious and must be exposed. Opinion.

Europe’s favorite fantasy: Building a Palestinian State (from IKEA parts)

Spain’s Embargo on Israel:

Spain’s Embargo on Israel: A rotten meal with self-inflicted indigestion

Spain is not one of Israel’s arteries. It is, at best, a capillary. Opinion.

Spain’s Embargo on Israel: A rotten meal with self-inflicted indigestion

Analysis:

10 Myths & Facts about Israel post October 7, 2023

A must read: Learn the difference between lies spouted by the media and antisemites - and most important, learn the difference between us and them. Op-ed.

10 Myths & Facts about Israel post October 7, 2023

The latest tsunami of recognizing a Palestinian Arab State. Whose fault is it?

The people who should know better — those that watched six million Jews marched into gas chambers less than a century ago — now flirt with recognizing a Palestinian Arab state ruled by those who glorify that very slaughter. Opinion.

The latest tsunami of recognizing a Palestinian Arab State. Whose fault is it?

At any price! Really?

Think of the damage you cause by emboldening Hamas, whose demands grow bolder by the day as they watch your protests. Opinion.

At any price! Really?

Does winning the war depend on Fordow?

There is an additional, even more important, potentially long-term, and far more productive solution to ending the conflict with Iran once and for all. Opinion.

Does winning the war depend on Fordow?

Is Trump buying the Iranian Deception?

Why an agreement between the U.S. and Iran may pose a greater danger than having no agreement at all. Opinion.

Is Trump buying the Iranian Deception?

Trump is wrong. Iran is becoming nuclear

Iran's nuclear program exhibits concerning parallels with those of North Korea, India, Pakistan, and Israel, marked by a history of deception, but radically differing from them in its alarming rhetoric of genocidal threats against Israel. The risks posed by a nuclear-armed Iran significantly outweigh those of other nations. Op-ed.

Trump is wrong. Iran is becoming nuclear